Print:
Probability:
Mathematics:
- Document Date: June 2004
- Grades PK–3
- Grades 3–8
State Curriculum Toolkit
Tools aligned to State Curriculum indicators and/or objectives.
- Clarification of Indicator and/or Objective
Explanation and/or examples of indicator and/or objective - Higher Order
Thinking Skills
Examples of questions at various levels of cognitive demand - Sample Assessments
Items and annotated student responses as appropriate - Public Release Items
Actual MSA items and annotated student responses as appropriate
Probability |
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Standard 5.0 Knowledge of Probability
Students will use experimental methods or theoretical reasoning to determine probabilities to make predictions or solve problems about events whose outcomes involve random variation.
Topic
A. Sample Space
Indicator
- 1. Identify possible outcomes
Objective
- Determine possible outcomes of independent events
Assessment limit: Use two independent events with no more than 4 outcomes each and an organized list or tree diagram
Topic
B. Theoretical Probability
Indicator
- 1. Determine the probability of one simple event comprised of equally likely outcomes
Objective
- Make predictions and express the probability as a fraction
Assessment limit: Use a sample space of no more than 20 outcomes
Note: Highlighted assessment limits will be tested in the no calculator section of MSA. In the assessment limit, (0-10) or (-10 to 10) means all numbers in the problem or the answer will fall within the range of 0 to 10 (including endpoints) or -10 to 10 (including endpoints), respectively. All content standards are tested in MSA but not all objectives. Objectives that have an assessment limit are tested on MSA. Objectives without an assessment limit are not tested on MSA.
June 2004
