Print:
Probability:
Mathematics:
- Document Date: June 2004
- Grades PK–3
- Grades 3–8
State Curriculum Toolkit
Tools aligned to State Curriculum indicators and/or objectives.
- Clarification of Indicator and/or Objective
Explanation and/or examples of indicator and/or objective - Sample Assessments
Items and annotated student responses as appropriate - Public Release Items
Actual MSA items and annotated student responses as appropriate
Probability |
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Standard 5.0 Knowledge of Probability
Students will use experimental methods or theoretical reasoning to determine probabilities to make predictions or solve problems about events whose outcomes involve random variation.
Topic
A. Sample Space
Indicator
- 1. Identify a sample space
Objectives
- Describe the difference between independent and dependent events
- Determine the number of outcomes
Assessment limit: Use no more than 5 dependent events with no more than 10 outcomes in the first event
Topic
B. Theoretical Probability
Indicator
- 1. Determine the probability of an event comprised of no more than 2 independent events
Objective
- Express the probability of an event as a fraction, a decimal, or a percent
Assessment limit: Use a sample space of 36 to 60 outcomes
Indicator
- 2. Determine the probability of a second event that is dependent on a first event of equally likely outcomes
Objective
- Express the probability as a fraction, a decimal, or a percent
Assessment limit: Use a sample space of no more than 60 outcomes
Topic
C. Experimental Probability
Indicator
- 1. Analyze the results of a survey or simulation
Objective
- Make predictions and express the probability of the results as a fraction, a decimal with no more than 2 decimal places, or a percent
Assessment limit: Use 20 to 500 results
Indicator
- 2. Conduct a probability experiment
Indicator
- 3. Compare outcomes of theoretical probability with the results of experimental probability
Indicator
- 4. Describe the difference between theoretical and experimental probability
Note: Highlighted assessment limits will be tested in the no calculator section of MSA. In the assessment limit, (0-10) or (-10 to 10) means all numbers in the problem or the answer will fall within the range of 0 to 10 (including endpoints) or -10 to 10 (including endpoints), respectively. All content standards are tested in MSA but not all objectives. Objectives that have an assessment limit are tested on MSA. Objectives without an assessment limit are not tested on MSA.
June 2004
