State Curriculum - Mathematics

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Grade 3 Grade 4 Grade 5
Standard 5.0 Knowledge of Probability: Students will use experimental methods or theoretical reasoning to determine probabilities to make predictions or solve problems about events whose outcomes involve random variation. Standard 5.0 Knowledge of Probability: Students will use experimental methods or theoretical reasoning to determine probabilities to make predictions or solve problems about events whose outcomes involve random variation. Standard 5.0 Knowledge of Probability: Students will use experimental methods or theoretical reasoning to determine probabilities to make predictions or solve problems about events whose outcomes involve random variation.
A. Sample Space A. Sample Space A. Sample Space
1. Identify possible outcomes
1. Identify possible outcomes
a. Identify possible outcomes that make up the sample space for a given real life situation
  a. Determine possible outcomes of independent events
    Assessment limit:
  • Use two independent events with no more than 4 outcomes each and an organized list or tree diagram
b. Identify possible outcomes that make up the sample space for a given experiment such as: flipping a coin, spinning a spinner, and rolling a number cube
   
B. Theoretical Probability B. Theoretical Probability B. Theoretical Probability
1. Identify the probability of one simple event
1. Determine the probability of one simple event comprised of equally likely outcomes
1. Determine the probability of one simple event comprised of equally likely outcomes
a. Describe the probability of an event using words
    Assessment limit:
  • Use probability terms of more (or most) likely, less (or least) likely, or equally likely
a. Express the probability as a fraction
    Assessment limit:
  • Use a sample space of no more than 6 outcomes
a. Make predictions and express the probability as a fraction
    Assessment limit:
  • Use a sample space of no more than 20 outcomes
C. Experimental Probability C. Experimental Probability C. Experimental Probability
 

Note: Highlighted assessment limits will be tested in the no calculator section of MSA. In the assessment limit, (0-10) or (-10 to 10) means all numbers in the problem or the answer will fall within the range of 0 to 10 (including endpoints) or -10 to 10 (including endpoints), respectively. All content standards are tested in MSA but not all objectives. Objectives that have an assessment limit are tested on MSA. Objectives without an assessment limit are not tested on MSA.

 

MSDE has developed a toolkit for these standards which can be found online at: http://mdk12.org/instruction/curriculum/mathematics/vsc_toolkit.html.

 

June 2004