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Higher Order Thinking Skills: The higher order thinking skills shows examples of questions for this concept at various levels of cognitive demand.

Standard 5.0 Knowledge of Probability

Topic B. Theoretical Probability

Indicator 1. Identify the probability of one simple event

Objective a. Describe the probability of an event using words

Assessment limit: Use probability terms of more (or most) likely, less (or least) likely, or equally likely

Question

Sarah was playing a game using this spinner. The spinner is divided into 6 equal sections.

spinner

Level 1: Knowledge/Comprehension

  • Is it equally likely that the spinner will land on either color?
  • On which color is the spinner most likely to land?
  • On which color is the spinner least likely to land?

Level 2: Application/Analysis

  • How should Sarah change the spinner to make landing on either color equally likely?
  • The last five times Sarah spun, she landed on blue. On which color is Sarah most likely to land the next time she spins?

Level 3: Synthesis/Evaluation

  • On which color is the spinner most likely to land? Explain why.
  • Explain how Sarah could change the spinner so that it is twice as likely to land on the blue color as the pink color.
  • Sarah is going to add another color to the spinner. Explain how Sarah could change the spinner to make landing on any of the three colors equally likely.
/instruction/thinking_skills/mathematics/grade3/xml/5B1a.xml
Resources for Objective 5.B.1.a:
Clarifications | THINKING SKILLS | Sample Assessments |