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Higher Order Thinking Skills: The higher order thinking skills shows examples of questions for this concept at various levels of cognitive demand.

Standard 5.0 Knowledge of Probability

Topic B. Theoretical Probability

Indicator 1. Determine the probability of one simple event comprised of equally likely outcomes

Objective a. Express the probability as a fraction

Assessment limit: Use a sample space of no more than 6 outcomes

Question

Look at the spinner.

spinner

Level 1: Knowledge/Comprehension

  • What is the probability of the arrow landing on yellow?
  • What is the probability of the arrow landing on blue?

Level 2: Application/Analysis

  • Which has a greater probability of occurring, the arrow landing on yellow or landing on blue? Explain your answer.
  • Harry and Linda are playing a game with the spinner. When the arrow lands on yellow, Harry gets a point. When the arrow lands on blue, Linda gets a point. Predict how many points Harry will have after 6 spins. Predict how many points Linda will have after 6 spins. Use what you know about probability and fractions to explain your answer.

Level 3: Synthesis/Evaluation

  • What is the probability of landing on yellow? Explain why your answer is correct. Use what you know about probability in your explanation.
  • Harry and Linda are playing a game with the spinner. When the arrow lands on yellow, Harry gets a point. When the arrow lands on blue, Linda gets a point. Predict how many points Harry will have after 12 spins. Predict how many points Linda will have after 12 spins.
    After 12 spins who has more points? What could you do to the spinner to give each person an equal chance of winning?
    What could you do to the game rules to give each person an equal chance of winning?
/instruction/thinking_skills/mathematics/grade4/xml/5B1a.xml
Resources for Objective 5.B.1.a:
Clarifications | THINKING SKILLS | Sample Assessments |